New England 24 to Buffalo 38

STATISTICS:

Rushing: New England - Williams: 17 for 79 yards (4.6 ave, 1 TD), Herbert: 9 for 63 yards (7 ave, 0 TD), Hunt: 1 for 5 yards (5 ave, 0 TD), Hill: 0 for 0 yards (NAN ave, 0 TD), Purdy: 1 for 4 yards (0 TD), Abanikanda: 2 for 4 yards (0 TD)
Buffalo - Jones:21 for 136 yards (6.5 ave, 2 TD), Moss:0 for 0 yards (NAN ave, 0 TD), Miller:0 for 0 yards (NAN ave, 0 TD), Taylor:7 for 33 yards (4.7 ave, 0 TD), Prescott: 2 for 6 yards (0 TD)

Passing: New England - Purdy: 18-for-27, 234 yards, 2 TD / 0 INT
Buffalo - Prescott: 19-for-27, 276 yards, 2 TD / 0 INT


Receptions: New England - Cooper:0-0yds, Samuel:4-55yds, James:1-10yds, Hollins:0-0yards, Abanikanda:4-45yards, Oliver:1-20yds, Graham:1-3yards, Williams:1-13yds, Herbert:1-18yards, Hunt:0-0yards, Hill:5-70yards
Buffalo - Olave:3-26yards, Flowers:5-113yds, Davis:1-15yards, Dell:0-0yds, Pierce:4-65yds, Washington:1-13yards, Fant:5-44yds, Jones:0-0yards, Moss:0-0yds, Miller:0-0yards, Taylor:0-0yards

Kick Returns: New England - Thompkins: 1 for 14 yards (14 ave), Hill: 0 for 0 yards (NAN ave)
Buffalo - Moore: 1 for 14 yards (14 ave), Miller: 0 for 0 yards (NAN ave)

Punt Returns: New England - Thompkins: 1 for 0 yards (0 ave), James: 0 for 0 yards (NAN ave)
Buffalo - Moore: 2 for 7 yards (4 ave), Miller: 0 for 0 yards (NAN ave)

Kickers: New England - Bass: 1-for-1; Buffalo - Carlson: 3-for-3
Punters: New England - Wishnowsky: 2-37 ave. (in20:0, blocks:0)
Buffalo - Zentner: 1-56 ave. (in20:1, blocks:0)

PLAY-BY-PLAY:
Welcome to Buffalo. Most football games are won in the trenches, and in today's matchup Buffalo's offensive line has a big edge up front. Following the coin toss, New England will receive the ball first.

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
14:52 | 1 and 10 @ 75 (75)... Penalty on New England.
14:52 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Kyren Williams runs for 5 yards (1-5yds | 5 ave:4.5).
14:26 | 2 and 5 @ 30 (70)... Khalil Herbert runs for 8 yards (1-8yds | 8 ave:7).
13:55 | 1 and 10 @ 38 (62)... Kyren Williams runs for -1 yards (2-4yds | 2 ave:4.5).
13:26 | 2 and 11 @ 37 (63)... Buffalo defense gets the sack!
13:20 | 3 and 15 @ 33 (67)... Incomplete pass.
13:08 | 4 and 15 @ 33 (67)... Mitch Wishnowsky punts the ball 42 yards (42:38)
Rondale Moore returns the ball 5 yards.
12:38 | 1 and 10 @ 30 (30)... Dak Prescott (1-for-1 7 yds | 100%:77) passes complete to Noah Fant for 7 yards.
12:08 | 2 and 3 @ 37 (37)... Incomplete pass.
12:00 | 3 and 3 @ 37 (37)... Dak Prescott (2-for-3 26 yds | 67%:77) passes complete to Zay Flowers for 19 yards.
11:30 | 1 and 10 @ 44 (56)... Aaron Jones runs for 10 yards (1-10yds | 10 ave:6.9).
10:55 | 1 and 10 @ 34 (66)... Dak Prescott (3-for-4 33 yds | 75%:77) passes complete to Noah Fant for 7 yards.
10:17 | 2 and 3 @ 27 (73)... Dak Prescott (4-for-5 54 yds | 80%:77) passes complete to Zay Flowers for 21 yards.
9:27 | 1 and 6 @ 6 (94)... Aaron Jones runs for 0 yards (2-10yds | 5 ave:6.9).
8:46 | 2 and 6 @ 6 (94)... Prescott throws a 6 yard TOUCHDOWN to Zay Flowers!

TOUCHDOWN Buffalo!! Buffalo 7 to New England 0

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
8:36 | 1 and 10 @ 75 (75)...
8:36 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Penalty on New England.
8:36 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Kareem Hunt runs for 5 yards (1-5yds | 5 ave:3.2).
7:54 | 2 and 5 @ 30 (70)... Kyren Williams runs for 4 yards (3-8yds | 2.7 ave:4.5).
7:12 | 3 and 1 @ 34 (66)... Kyren Williams runs for 25 yards (4-33yds | 8.3 ave:4.5).
6:36 | 1 and 10 @ 41 (41)... Kyren Williams runs for 2 yards (5-35yds | 7 ave:4.5).
5:57 | 2 and 8 @ 39 (39)... Brock Purdy (1-for-2 11 yds | 50%:67) passes complete to Justice Hill for 11 yards.
5:13 | 1 and 10 @ 28 (28)... Khalil Herbert runs for 3 yards (2-11yds | 5.5 ave:7).
4:35 | 2 and 7 @ 25 (25)... Brock Purdy (2-for-3 22 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Curtis Samuel for 11 yards.
4:04 | 1 and 10 @ 14 (14)... Kyren Williams runs for -3 yards (6-32yds | 5.3 ave:4.5).
3:30 | 2 and 13 @ 17 (17)... Purdy throws a 17 yard TOUCHDOWN to Israel Abanikanda!

TOUCHDOWN New England!! New England 7 to Buffalo 7

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
3:17 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (25)...
3:17 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (25)... Incomplete pass.
3:04 | 2 and 10 @ 25 (25)... Dak Prescott (6-for-8 81 yds | 75%:77) passes complete to Zay Flowers for 21 yards.
2:27 | 1 and 10 @ 46 (46)... Dak Prescott (7-for-9 88 yds | 78%:77) passes complete to Noah Fant for 7 yards.
1:58 | 2 and 3 @ 47 (53)... Dak Prescott (8-for-10 112 yds | 80%:77) passes complete to Alec Pierce for 24 yards.
1:27 | 1 and 10 @ 23 (77)... Aaron Jones runs for 23 yards (3-33yds | 11 ave:6.9).
TOUCHDOWN Buffalo!! Buffalo 14 to New England 7

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
0:33 | 1 and 10 @ 75 (75)...
0:33 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Kyren Williams runs for -3 yards (7-29yds | 4.1 ave:4.5).
0:00 | 2 and 13 @ 22 (78)...

End of Quarter 1 (New England 7 to Buffalo 14)

Brock Purdy (4-for-5 50 yds | 80%:67) passes complete to Justice Hill for 11 yards.
14:17 | 3 and 2 @ 33 (67)... Brock Purdy runs for 4 yards (1-4yds | 4 ave:4).
13:34 | 1 and 10 @ 37 (63)... Kyren Williams runs for 7 yards (8-36yds | 4.5 ave:4.5).
12:58 | 2 and 3 @ 44 (56)... Israel Abanikanda FUMBLES! Buffalo recovers! Israel Abanikanda ran for 3 yards on the play before being stripped of the ball (1-3yds | 3 ave:1.5).
12:18 | 1 and 10 @ (53)...
12:18 | 1 and 10 @ 47 (53)... Aaron Jones runs for 2 yards (4-35yds | 8.8 ave:6.9).
11:46 | 2 and 8 @ 45 (55)... Dak Prescott runs for 4 yards (1-4yds | 4 ave:2.5).
11:08 | 3 and 4 @ 41 (59)... Dak Prescott (9-for-11 124 yds | 82%:77) passes complete to Chris Olave for 12 yards.
10:33 | 1 and 10 @ 29 (71)... Aaron Jones runs for 4 yards (5-39yds | 7.8 ave:6.9).
10:08 | 2 and 6 @ 25 (75)... Dak Prescott runs for 2 yards (2-6yds | 3 ave:2.5).
9:34 | 3 and 4 @ 23 (77)... Prescott throws a 23 yard TOUCHDOWN to Alec Pierce!

TOUCHDOWN Buffalo!! Buffalo 21 to New England 7

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
9:26 | 1 and 10 @ 75 (75)...
9:26 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Khalil Herbert runs for 6 yards (3-17yds | 5.7 ave:7).
8:45 | 2 and 4 @ 31 (69)... Israel Abanikanda runs for 1 yards (2-4yds | 2 ave:1.5).
8:01 | 3 and 3 @ 32 (68)... Incomplete pass.
7:52 | 4 and 3 @ 32 (68)... Mitch Wishnowsky punts the ball 32 yards (37:38)
Rondale Moore returns the ball 2 yards.
7:28 | 1 and 10 @ 38 (38)... Aaron Jones runs for 5 yards (6-44yds | 7.3 ave:6.9).
6:56 | 2 and 5 @ 43 (43)... Patrick Taylor runs for 5 yards (1-5yds | 5 ave:4.7).
6:27 | 1 and 10 @ 48 (48)... Aaron Jones runs for 0 yards (7-44yds | 6.3 ave:6.9).
5:44 | 2 and 10 @ 48 (48)... Penalty on Buffalo.
5:44 | 2 and 20 @ 38 (38)... Patrick Taylor runs for 1 yards (2-6yds | 3 ave:4.7).
5:15 | 3 and 19 @ 39 (39)... Incomplete pass.
5:05 | 4 and 19 @ 39 (39)... Ty Zentner punts the ball 56 yards (56:50)
Deven Thompkins returns the ball 0 yards.
4:43 | 1 and 10 @ 5 (95)... Khalil Herbert runs for 8 yards (4-25yds | 6.3 ave:7).
4:18 | 2 and 2 @ 13 (87)... Kyren Williams runs for 4 yards (9-40yds | 4.4 ave:4.5).
3:35 | 1 and 10 @ 17 (83)... Kyren Williams runs for 4 yards (10-44yds | 4.4 ave:4.5).
2:57 | 2 and 6 @ 21 (79)... Khalil Herbert runs for 4 yards (5-29yds | 5.8 ave:7).
2:28 | 3 and 2 @ 25 (75)... Khalil Herbert runs for 7 yards (6-36yds | 6 ave:7).
1:44 | 1 and 10 @ 32 (68)... Brock Purdy (5-for-7 61 yds | 71%:67) passes complete to Justice Hill for 11 yards.
1:04 | 1 and 10 @ 43 (57)... Incomplete pass.
0:54 | 2 and 10 @ 43 (57)... Brock Purdy (6-for-9 71 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Israel Abanikanda for 10 yards.
0:15 | 1 and 10 @ 47 (47)... Brock Purdy (7-for-10 83 yds | 70%:67) passes complete to Justice Hill for 12 yards. TIMEOUT New England (2 left)
0:08 | 1 and 10 @ 35 (35)... Incomplete pass.
0:00 | 2 and 10 @ 35 (35)...

End of Quarter 2 (New England 7 to Buffalo 21)

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
14:54 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (25)... Aaron Jones runs for 12 yards (8-56yds | 7 ave:6.9).
14:18 | 1 and 10 @ 37 (37)... Aaron Jones runs for 2 yards (9-58yds | 6.4 ave:6.9).
13:45 | 2 and 8 @ 39 (39)... Dak Prescott (11-for-14 161 yds | 79%:77) passes complete to Chris Olave for 14 yards.
13:08 | 1 and 10 @ 47 (53)... Aaron Jones runs for 12 yards (10-70yds | 7 ave:6.9).
12:24 | 1 and 10 @ 35 (65)... Aaron Jones runs for 4 yards (11-74yds | 6.7 ave:6.9).
11:56 | 2 and 6 @ 31 (69)... New England defense gets the sack!
11:44 | 3 and 11 @ 36 (64)... Incomplete pass.
11:38 | 4 and 11 @ 36 (64)...
Here's a 53 fieldgoal attempt... GOOD! 24 to 7

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
11:31 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Kyren Williams runs for 9 yards (11-53yds | 4.8 ave:4.8).
10:58 | 2 and 1 @ 34 (66)... Khalil Herbert runs for 13 yards (7-49yds | 7 ave:7).
10:21 | 1 and 10 @ 47 (53)... Kyren Williams runs for -3 yards (12-50yds | 4.2 ave:4.8).
9:44 | 2 and 13 @ 44 (56)... Khalil Herbert runs for 7 yards (8-56yds | 7 ave:7).
9:13 | 3 and 6 @ 49 (49)... Brock Purdy (8-for-12 96 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Curtis Samuel for 13 yards.
8:34 | 1 and 10 @ 36 (36)... Kyren Williams runs for 12 yards (13-62yds | 4.8 ave:4.8).
7:55 | 1 and 10 @ 24 (24)... Kyren Williams runs for 5 yards (14-67yds | 4.8 ave:4.8).
7:27 | 2 and 5 @ 19 (19)... Khalil Herbert runs for 7 yards (9-63yds | 7 ave:7).
7:02 | 1 and 10 @ 12 (12)... Kyren Williams runs for 5 yards (15-72yds | 4.8 ave:4.8).
6:37 | 2 and 5 @ 7 (7)... Williams runs 7 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
TOUCHDOWN New England!! New England 14 to Buffalo 24

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
6:20 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (25)...
6:20 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (25)... Aaron Jones runs for 10 yards (12-84yds | 7 ave:6.9).
5:42 | 1 and 10 @ 35 (35)... Aaron Jones runs for 0 yards (13-84yds | 6.5 ave:6.9).
5:04 | 2 and 10 @ 35 (35)... Patrick Taylor runs for 8 yards (3-14yds | 4.7 ave:4.7).
4:28 | 3 and 2 @ 43 (43)... New England needs to call a TIMEOUT (2 left). Aaron Jones runs for 14 yards (14-98yds | 7 ave:6.9).
3:44 | 1 and 10 @ 43 (57)... Aaron Jones runs for -2 yards (15-96yds | 6.4 ave:6.9).
3:18 | 2 and 12 @ 45 (55)... Patrick Taylor runs for 5 yards (4-19yds | 4.8 ave:4.7).
2:53 | 3 and 7 @ 40 (60)... Dak Prescott (12-for-16 176 yds | 75%:77) passes complete to Gabe Davis for 15 yards.
2:09 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Aaron Jones runs for 15 yards (16-111yds | 6.9 ave:6.9).
1:29 | 1 and 10 @ 10 (90)... Aaron Jones runs for 1 yards (17-112yds | 6.6 ave:6.9).
0:52 | 2 and 9 @ 9 (91)... Patrick Taylor runs for 1 yards (5-20yds | 4 ave:4.7).
0:18 | 3 and 8 @ 8 (92)... Incomplete pass..
0:08 | 4 and 8 @ 8 (92)...
Here's a 25 fieldgoal attempt... GOOD! 27 to 14

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback. The kick comes to at the 5, returned to 25.
0:01 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Kyren Williams runs for 0 yards (17-79yds | 4.6 ave:4.8).
0:00 | 2 and 10 @ 25 (75)...

End of Quarter 3 (New England 14 to Buffalo 27)

Brock Purdy (9-for-13 106 yds | 69%:67) passes complete to Israel Abanikanda for 10 yards.
14:35 | 1 and 10 @ 35 (65)... Incomplete pass.
14:22 | 2 and 10 @ 35 (65)... Brock Purdy (10-for-15 124 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Khalil Herbert for 18 yards.
13:54 | 1 and 10 @ 47 (47)... Brock Purdy (11-for-16 149 yds | 69%:67) passes complete to Justice Hill for 25 yards.
13:19 | 1 and 10 @ 22 (22)... Purdy throws a 22 yard TOUCHDOWN to Curtis Samuel!

TOUCHDOWN New England!! New England 21 to Buffalo 27

The kick comes to Rondale Moore at the -2, returned to 12.
13:06 | 1 and 10 @ 12 (12)...
13:06 | 1 and 10 @ 12 (12)... Dak Prescott (13-for-18 222 yds | 72%:77) passes complete to Zay Flowers for 46 yards.
12:20 | 1 and 10 @ 42 (58)... Dak Prescott (14-for-19 239 yds | 74%:77) passes complete to Noah Fant for 17 yards.
11:35 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Dak Prescott (15-for-20 252 yds | 75%:77) passes complete to Darnell Washington for 13 yards.
11:04 | 1 and 10 @ 12 (88)... Incomplete pass..
10:58 | 2 and 10 @ 12 (88)... Incomplete pass..
10:51 | 3 and 10 @ 12 (88)... Dak Prescott (16-for-23 263 yds | 70%:77) passes complete to Alec Pierce for 11 yards.
10:01 | 1 and 1 @ 1 (99)... Aaron Jones runs for 1 yards (18-113yds | 6.3 ave:6.9).
TOUCHDOWN Buffalo!!... Going for the 2-point conversion... SCORE! Buffalo 35 to New England 21

The kickoff goes deep into the endzone for a touchback.
9:15 | 1 and 10 @ 75 (75)...
9:15 | 1 and 10 @ 25 (75)... Brock Purdy (13-for-18 191 yds | 72%:67) passes complete to Josh Oliver for 20 yards.
8:25 | 1 and 10 @ 45 (55)... Incomplete pass.
8:12 | 2 and 10 @ 45 (55)... Incomplete pass.
8:06 | 3 and 10 @ 45 (55)... Brock Purdy (14-for-21 204 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Kyren Williams for 13 yards.
7:27 | 1 and 10 @ 42 (42)... Brock Purdy (15-for-22 214 yds | 68%:67) passes complete to Richie James for 10 yards.
7:01 | 1 and 10 @ 32 (32)... Incomplete pass.
6:48 | 2 and 10 @ 32 (32)... Buffalo defense gets the sack!
6:42 | 3 and 20 @ 42 (42)... Brock Purdy (16-for-24 223 yds | 67%:67) passes complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yards.
5:55 | 4 and 11 @ 33 (33)...
Here's a 50 fieldgoal attempt... GOOD! 24 to 35

New England will go for the on-side kick... Buffalo recovers.

5:55 | 1 and 10 @ 50 (50)... Aaron Jones runs for 19 yards (19-132yds | 6.9 ave:6.9).
5:13 | 1 and 10 @ 31 (69)... Patrick Taylor runs for 8 yards (6-28yds | 4.7 ave:4.7).
4:45 | 2 and 2 @ 23 (77)... Patrick Taylor runs for 5 yards (7-33yds | 4.7 ave:4.7).
4:20 | 1 and 10 @ 18 (82)... Aaron Jones runs for 2 yards (20-134yds | 6.7 ave:6.9).
3:45 | 2 and 8 @ 16 (84)... Dak Prescott (17-for-24 270 yds | 71%:77) passes complete to Alec Pierce for 7 yards.
3:00 | 3 and 1 @ 9 (91)... Aaron Jones runs for 2 yards (21-136yds | 6.5 ave:3).
2:15 | 1 and 7 @ 7 (93)... Dak Prescott (18-for-25 276 yds | 72%:77) passes complete to Noah Fant for 6 yards. TWO-MINUTE WARNING
2:00 | 2 and 1 @ 1 (99)... Incomplete pass..
1:14 | 3 and 1 @ 1 (99)... Dak Prescott (19-for-27 276 yds | 70%:77) passes complete to Chris Olave for 0 yards.
0:24 | 4 and 1 @ 1 (99)...
Here's a 18 fieldgoal attempt... GOOD! 38 to 24

The kick comes to Deven Thompkins at the -3, returned to 11.
0:20 | 1 and 10 @ 11 (89)... Brock Purdy (17-for-25 231 yds | 68%:67) passes complete to Israel Abanikanda for 8 yards. TIMEOUT New England (1 left)
0:10 | 2 and 2 @ 19 (81)... Brock Purdy (18-for-26 234 yds | 69%:67) passes complete to Jimmy Graham for 3 yards. TIMEOUT New England (0 left)
0:02 | 1 and 10 @ 22 (78)... Incomplete pass.
0:00 | 2 and 10 @ 22 (78)...

End of Quarter 4 (New England 24 to Buffalo 38)

CRUNCHING THE NUMBERS: ADJUSTMENTS TO WEEKLY UPDATE STATS
New England Offensive Line Grade (6.1) vs. Buffalo Front Seven (6) = 0.1 in the trenches
Buffalo Offensive Line (6.9) vs. New England Front Seven (6) = 0.9 adjustments to running averages
New England QB Completion % Impacts (x.1): WR (5.7) + OL (6.1) - Buffalo F7 (6) - SEC (7) = -0.12
Buffalo QB Completion % Impacts (x.1): WR (6.2) + OL (6.9) - New England F7 (6) - SEC (6.2) = 0.09
These adjustments will not always apply completely, such as in cases where QBs have high completion percentages already and get more yard rewards for strong adjustments instead and smaller (7%) percentage boost. Max 15%. WR collective grades increase .5 for 25+ catches in a week IRL in updates. Max OL/F7 difference for RB averages +/- 1.5yd ave.

New England QB1: update 22-for-28 (79%, -0.12 adj) 230-yds (10.5 ypc) 2/0 | SIM: 18-for-27 (67%) 234-yds (13 ypc), 2 TD / 0 INT
Buffalo QB1 update :26-for-38 (68%, 0.09 adj) 345-yds (13.3 ypc) 2/1 | SIM: 19-for-27 (70%) 276-yds (14.5 ypc), 2 TD / 0 INT
New England RB1: 20-87 (4.5 adj) | SIM: 17-79 (4.6 ave) ; RB2: 18-124 (7 adj) | SIM: 9-63 (7 ave) ; RB3: 10-31 (3.2 adj) | SIM: 1-5 (5 ave) ; RB4: 3-48 (16.1 adj) | SIM: 0-0 (NAN ave)
Buffalo RB1: 20-120 (6.9 adj) | SIM: 21-136 (6.5 ave) ; RB2: 1-0 (0.9 adj) | SIM: 0-0 (NAN ave) ; RB3: 1-0 (0.9 adj) | SIM: 0-0 (NAN ave) ; RB4: 8-30 (4.7 adj) | SIM: 7-33 (4.7 ave)
New England WR1: 0-0 (NAN) | S: 0-0yds (NAN) ; WR2: 3-33 (11) | S: 4-55yds (13.8) ; WR3: 1-6 (6) | S: 1-10yds (10) ; WR4: 1-4 (4) | S: 0-0yds (NAN) ; WR5: 4-27 (6.8) | S: 4-45yds (11.3) ; TE1: 1-17 (17) | S: 1-20yds (20) ; TE2: - (NAN) | S: 1-3yds (3)
Buffalo WR1: 3-26 (8.7) | S: 3-26yds (8.7) ; WR2: 3-106 (35.3) | S: 5-113yds (22.6) ; WR3: 2-21 (10.5) | S: 1-15yds (15) ; WR4: 1-0 (0) | S: 0-0yds (NAN) ; WR5: 1-58 (58) | S: 4-65yds (16.3) ; TE1: 2-10 (5) | S: 1-13yds (13) ; TE2: - (NAN) | S: 5-44yds (8.8)
RB averages may shift in the game when they use up their weekly update carries, or if any unused TDs later in the game. WR and QB averages per completion are split between both player projections.